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2025-02-01

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Badgers Northwestern Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 79.9% 20.1% -
Bradley-Terry 58.9% 41.1% -
Margin 66.0% 34.0% -3.6 (2.4 off)
Pythagorean 53.1% 46.9% -
Efficiency 53.3% 46.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 72.7% 27.3% -
Log Adjusted 72.7% 27.3% -
Points Off/Def 57.1% 42.9% -

Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -6 (69-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Tonje 38 8-18 5-11 6-6 2 3 0 0 2 27 12 +1.2
S. Crowl 28 1-4 1-3 0-0 7 1 0 1 1 3 7 -7.2
M. Klesmit 27 3-7 1-4 4-4 4 2 0 0 1 11 9 -5.6
J. Blackwell 26 2-8 1-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 5 0 -0.1
C. Gilmore 24 5-7 3-5 2-2 7 1 0 0 0 15 16 -2.7
K. McGee 22 1-2 0-0 2-3 2 3 1 0 1 4 7 +4.9
N. Winter 20 2-5 2-4 4-6 5 1 0 0 2 10 9 +5.7
J. Janicki 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 +1.8
X. Amos 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +1.7

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Martinelli 40 6-18 1-5 2-3 7 2 2 0 2 15 6 +2.3
J. Leach 37 8-14 5-8 2-2 7 7 0 0 0 23 23 +9.8
M. Nicholson 29 4-5 0-0 2-2 6 2 0 2 0 10 15 +13.8
T. Berry 27 4-10 4-8 2-2 4 1 1 0 1 14 9 +6.9
J. Mullins 25 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 5 4 -3.9
A. Ciaravino 21 0-6 0-3 0-0 1 2 1 1 2 0 -3 -2.9
K. Fitzmorris 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 2 3 -10.2
K.J. Windham 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 +2.7
B. Smith 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.8

* = starter