Model Predictions
| Model | Wisconsin Badgers | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.4% | 32.6% | -7.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.2% | 33.8% | -3.7 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.7% | 27.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.7% | 27.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -6 (69-75). Ratings: 2024-25 season-end ratings.
Wisconsin Badgers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Tonje * | 38 | 8-18 | 5-11 | 6-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 12 | +1.2 |
| Steven Crowl * | 28 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -7.2 |
| Max Klesmit * | 27 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | -5.6 |
| John Blackwell * | 26 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | -0.1 |
| Nolan Winter * | 20 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +5.7 |
| Carter Gilmore | 24 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 16 | -2.7 |
| Kamari McGee | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | +4.9 |
| Jack Janicki | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.8 |
| Xavier Amos | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.7 |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Martinelli * | 40 | 6-18 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 6 | +2.3 |
| Jalen Leach * | 37 | 8-14 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 23 | +9.8 |
| Matthew Nicholson * | 29 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 15 | +13.8 |
| Ty Berry * | 27 | 4-10 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | +6.9 |
| Angelo Ciaravino * | 21 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -2.9 |
| Justin Mullins | 25 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -3.9 |
| Keenan Fitzmorris | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -10.2 |
| K.J. Windham | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.7 |
| Blake Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.8 |
* = starter