Virginia
2009 Team Stats (27 games)
70.1
PPG
72.7
Opp
-2.6
Margin
41.9%
FG%
32.0%
3P%
73.9%
FT%
36.6
RPG
12.7
APG
14.8
TO
-
Est. poss./game
69.4
Adj PPG
64.6
Adj Opp PPG
#95
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2008-2009
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1094 (#114) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1015 (#157) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 920 (#276) | HCA +107 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +5.6 (#92) | HCA +3.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +4.4 (#108) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.402 (#219) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.740 (#90) | AdjNet +9.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.744 (#90) | AdjNet +9.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.608 (#95) | AdjO 69.4 | AdjD 64.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.500 (#167) | AdjO 65.0 | AdjD 65.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.587 (#119) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.566 (#130) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1057 (#125) | RD 137 | GP 28 |
2009 Schedule & Results
2009 Roster
No roster data available for this season.