Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.8% | 13.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.0% | 67.0% | +3.9 | ✓ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 4.6% | 95.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles +11 (68-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Landesberg | 38 | 6-19 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 4 | - |
| J. Jones | 31 | 3-11 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| S. Zeglinski | 24 | 3-9 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| M. Scott | 24 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| C. Baker | 22 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| A. Sene | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Tat | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Soroye | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Tucker | 11 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| M. Farrakhan | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Douglas | 36 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 5-7 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 14 | - |
| U. Echefu | 30 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| S. Alabi | 27 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| C. Singleton | 21 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| J. DeMercy | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| D. Kitchen | 18 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| L. Loucks | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Dulkys | 16 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| R. Reid | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| X. Gibson | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter