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2009-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Boston College Eagles Virginia Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 5.4% 94.6% -
Bradley-Terry 17.0% 83.0% -
Margin 10.0% 90.0% +12.1 (22.1 off)
Pythagorean 67.8% 32.2% -
Efficiency 78.4% 21.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 68.2% 31.8% -
Log Adjusted 68.1% 31.9% -

Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -10 (70-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston College Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Sanders 34 8-13 1-3 3-4 10 2 1 0 0 20 20 -
T. Rice 34 5-11 2-7 8-8 6 6 0 1 4 20 18 -
J. Southern 30 0-2 0-0 2-3 6 1 1 1 1 2 8 -
B. Paris 28 2-5 0-2 8-10 3 3 0 0 1 12 12 -
J. Trapani 26 3-6 1-2 5-6 6 1 0 2 3 12 12 -
C. Raji 16 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 4 -4 -
T. Roche 14 3-5 2-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 8 4 -
C. Dunn 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 2 4 -
R. Jackson 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -3 -
D. Elmore 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Landesberg 40 13-23 0-2 6-6 6 3 3 1 3 32 19 -
A. Sene 28 2-6 0-0 1-2 13 0 0 2 1 5 13 -
C. Baker 28 2-11 0-3 4-6 0 4 3 2 0 8 6 -
J. Jones 28 2-11 1-4 5-6 5 0 3 0 0 10 7 -
S. Tat 22 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
M. Scott 17 1-3 0-0 5-5 0 0 0 0 1 7 3 -
S. Zeglinski 14 1-5 0-2 1-2 1 1 3 0 0 3 3 -
J. Tucker 13 1-3 0-2 1-2 4 0 1 0 0 3 5 -
M. Diane 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
M. Farrakhan 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
J. Meyinsse 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter