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2009-03-03

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Cavaliers Clemson Tigers Spread Result
Elo 28.8% 71.2% -
Bradley-Terry 62.1% 37.9% -
Margin 60.4% 39.6% -2.3 (20.3 off)
Pythagorean 19.5% 80.5% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 3.0% 97.0% -
Log Adjusted 3.0% 97.0% -

Actual: Clemson Tigers +18 (75-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Landesberg 35 0-6 0-0 3-7 7 1 1 0 3 3 3 -
C. Baker 35 7-14 2-3 2-2 1 3 3 0 4 18 7 -
M. Scott 29 5-7 0-0 3-4 8 1 1 0 2 13 14 -
J. Jones 26 4-9 1-3 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 11 1 -
J. Tucker 17 1-4 0-2 0-1 2 1 1 0 1 2 1 -
T. Soroye 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 3 0 0 5 -
S. Zeglinski 13 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 0 -
S. Tat 9 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 2 1 1 -
J. Brandenburg 8 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 1 0 2 4 -
M. Farrakhan 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
M. Diane 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
W. Sherrill 1 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

Clemson Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K.C. Rivers 31 1-7 0-3 0-0 6 0 2 0 3 2 0 -
T. Booker 30 6-7 0-0 1-2 15 3 1 1 1 13 25 -
T. Oglesby 30 3-7 2-6 10-10 1 1 0 0 2 18 11 -
D. Stitt 25 1-4 0-0 1-2 0 7 3 1 3 3 7 -
R. Sykes 25 5-9 0-0 4-6 5 2 2 2 1 14 15 -
D. Potter 19 3-7 1-4 1-1 2 2 0 1 2 8 4 -
A. Young 14 3-4 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 7 6 -
J. Grant 12 4-5 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 1 0 10 9 -
T. Smith 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
J. Yanutola 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
K. Petrukonis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Baciu 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Baize 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Z. Anderson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Narcisse 1 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter