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2009-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Florida State Seminoles Virginia Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 7.1% 92.9% -
Bradley-Terry 40.7% 59.3% -
Margin 39.3% 60.7% +2.4 (13.4 off)
Pythagorean 62.4% 37.6% -
Efficiency 89.4% 10.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 82.2% 17.8% -
Log Adjusted 82.3% 17.7% -

Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -11 (62-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida State Seminoles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Douglas 34 8-11 1-2 4-4 3 5 1 0 3 21 16 -
D. Kitchen 27 2-6 1-3 1-2 3 3 3 0 3 6 6 -
S. Alabi 26 5-10 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 2 3 10 4 -
J. DeMercy 24 1-3 1-2 2-2 3 3 0 1 3 5 6 -
C. Singleton 22 3-6 1-1 0-0 7 1 2 1 2 7 10 -
U. Echefu 19 1-3 0-0 4-4 3 1 0 0 2 6 5 -
L. Loucks 18 2-5 2-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 6 3 -
D. Dulkys 13 2-5 2-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 6 2 -
R. Reid 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 4 2 0 -
X. Gibson 6 2-3 0-0 0-1 2 0 1 0 1 4 3 -

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Landesberg 31 5-11 0-2 14-14 6 2 0 0 6 24 15 -
M. Scott 30 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 3 0 3 2 3 -
C. Baker 29 2-8 0-1 2-2 4 3 1 1 1 6 6 -
A. Sene 22 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 3 1 0 2 -
M. Diane 18 1-2 0-1 1-2 1 1 2 0 1 3 4 -
S. Zeglinski 18 2-5 0-2 4-8 2 0 5 0 4 8 6 -
M. Farrakhan 14 0-5 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -5 -
J. Jones 14 3-7 2-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 8 2 -
J. Tucker 11 3-5 2-2 2-2 2 1 1 0 2 10 7 -
J. Meyinsse 9 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 3 -
T. Soroye 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter