Model Predictions
| Model | Florida State Seminoles | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.1% | 92.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.3% | 60.7% | +2.4 | ✗ (13.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 89.4% | 10.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.2% | 17.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.3% | 17.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -11 (62-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Douglas | 34 | 8-11 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 16 | - |
| D. Kitchen | 27 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| S. Alabi | 26 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| J. DeMercy | 24 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | - |
| C. Singleton | 22 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| U. Echefu | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| L. Loucks | 18 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D. Dulkys | 13 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| R. Reid | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | - |
| X. Gibson | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Landesberg | 31 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 14-14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 15 | - |
| M. Scott | 30 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C. Baker | 29 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| A. Sene | 22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Diane | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| S. Zeglinski | 18 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 4-8 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 6 | - |
| M. Farrakhan | 14 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | - |
| J. Jones | 14 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| J. Tucker | 11 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| J. Meyinsse | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| T. Soroye | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter