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2009-02-15

Model Predictions

Model Clemson Tigers Virginia Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 55.4% 44.6% -
Bradley-Terry 25.5% 74.5% -
Margin 17.3% 82.7% +8.6 (4.6 off)
Pythagorean 74.5% 25.5% -
Efficiency 95.4% 4.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 91.0% 9.0% -
Log Adjusted 91.0% 9.0% -

Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +4 (85-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Clemson Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K.C. Rivers 41 6-12 1-4 2-3 6 1 1 0 2 15 9 -
T. Booker 39 6-9 0-1 4-4 7 0 2 2 4 16 14 -
D. Stitt 37 4-12 1-4 3-4 1 4 2 0 1 12 6 -
T. Oglesby 36 5-12 5-10 2-2 3 3 1 0 6 17 6 -
R. Sykes 28 4-8 0-0 1-2 11 3 1 0 3 9 13 -
D. Potter 15 0-5 0-2 2-2 2 0 0 0 3 2 -4 -
T. Smith 10 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 5 4 -
J. Grant 10 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 1 3 -
A. Young 9 1-4 1-3 1-2 1 1 2 0 1 4 3 -

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Landesberg 45 11-21 0-0 1-2 4 3 3 0 5 23 7 -
M. Scott 40 8-12 0-0 2-3 10 3 3 0 0 18 22 -
C. Baker 34 1-6 0-2 2-2 3 1 0 0 5 4 -3 -
S. Zeglinski 30 6-6 3-3 0-0 1 6 1 0 6 15 11 -
J. Jones 26 3-10 2-6 4-6 1 3 0 0 4 12 2 -
J. Tucker 25 4-7 2-4 1-2 4 2 0 1 0 11 11 -
T. Soroye 15 1-1 0-0 0-1 4 0 0 1 0 2 6 -
A. Sene 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
S. Tat 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter