Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 19.6% | 80.4% | +7.8 | ✗ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 72.5% | 27.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 92.1% | 7.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.4% | 17.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.4% | 17.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -2 (56-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Reed | 37 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| K. Barber | 35 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| T. Waller | 33 | 3-12 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -1 | - |
| L. Hargrove | 31 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Q. Robertson | 29 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 8 | - |
| R. Barrett | 25 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| J. Lett | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| L. Williams | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Landesberg | 38 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 10-14 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 17 | - |
| C. Baker | 30 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| M. Scott | 27 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| S. Zeglinski | 26 | 4-14 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | - |
| A. Sene | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14 | - |
| M. Diane | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Jones | 20 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| J. Tucker | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Meyinsse | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter