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2009-02-26

Model Predictions

Model Miami Hurricanes Virginia Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 12.4% 87.6% -
Bradley-Terry 33.3% 66.7% -
Margin 28.3% 71.7% +5.1 (12.1 off)
Pythagorean 61.6% 38.4% -
Efficiency 94.9% 5.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 82.1% 17.9% -
Log Adjusted 82.2% 17.8% -

Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -7 (55-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Miami Hurricanes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. McClinton 35 3-10 3-5 2-2 2 4 1 0 3 11 5 -
J. Dews 33 4-10 1-4 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 9 5 -
J. Graham 28 0-3 0-0 0-0 7 2 2 1 3 0 6 -
B. Asbury 28 5-8 0-1 3-3 4 2 0 0 2 13 9 -
A. Thomas 25 3-8 3-7 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 9 5 -
D. Collins 18 3-5 0-0 0-1 4 0 0 0 1 6 4 -
L. Hurdle 17 2-3 0-1 4-5 0 2 2 0 1 8 8 -
C. McGowan 8 2-3 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 2 1 6 5 -
D. Jones 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
J. Gamble 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Landesberg 37 3-7 3-5 4-4 7 0 1 0 4 13 10 -
C. Baker 34 4-7 1-1 2-2 0 3 1 0 5 11 3 -
M. Scott 32 4-8 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 8 3 -
J. Jones 30 6-12 1-4 3-3 4 0 2 1 0 16 11 -
J. Tucker 17 1-4 0-2 1-2 1 1 1 0 1 3 1 -
T. Soroye 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 1 2 5 -
S. Zeglinski 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 0 1 -
S. Tat 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 0 1 -
A. Sene 9 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 0 0 2 -
M. Farrakhan 7 1-5 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 -2 -
M. Diane 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter