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2009-01-06

Model Predictions

Model Brown Bears Virginia Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 4.2% 95.8% -
Bradley-Terry 5.9% 94.1% -
Margin 1.9% 98.1% +21.6 (2.4 off)
Pythagorean 56.3% 43.7% -
Efficiency 76.9% 23.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +24 (74-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Sullivan 37 5-14 3-8 1-1 6 1 0 0 1 14 6 -
C. Skrelja 37 0-0 0-0 1-2 5 3 1 0 2 1 8 -
A. Williams 33 3-10 2-6 5-5 2 1 0 0 1 13 5 -
S. Friske 32 1-6 0-0 0-0 6 5 2 0 6 2 3 -
M. Mullery 24 4-8 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 3 2 8 4 -
S. Kaluz 15 2-8 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 4 -3 -
S. Kane 11 1-1 1-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 3 7 -
M. Kelly 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
S. Gruber 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 3 1 -
J. Harris 2 1-1 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
N. Hollingsworth 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Zeglinski 29 7-12 0-1 0-0 2 2 2 0 2 14 6 -
M. Scott 27 5-10 0-0 5-6 10 0 0 1 0 15 16 -
S. Landesberg 24 0-6 0-2 4-4 5 0 1 0 1 4 3 -
J. Tucker 23 3-5 1-3 1-2 5 2 2 1 1 8 12 -
M. Diane 19 3-8 1-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 7 0 -
C. Baker 18 0-4 0-3 0-0 2 3 2 1 1 0 3 -
A. Sene 16 3-3 0-0 0-4 3 1 0 3 0 6 10 -
M. Farrakhan 15 4-7 0-0 1-1 1 1 0 0 0 9 4 -
J. Jones 9 1-1 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 5 -
J. Meyinsse 8 1-3 0-0 2-4 3 1 0 0 0 4 5 -
S. Tat 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 2 4 -
J. Brandenburg 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
W. Sherrill 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter