Model Predictions
| Model | Brown Bears | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.2% | 95.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.9% | 94.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.9% | 98.1% | +21.6 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 76.9% | 23.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +24 (74-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Brown Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Sullivan | 37 | 5-14 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - |
| C. Skrelja | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | - |
| A. Williams | 33 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 5-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | - |
| S. Friske | 32 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Mullery | 24 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| S. Kaluz | 15 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | - |
| S. Kane | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| M. Kelly | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| S. Gruber | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J. Harris | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| N. Hollingsworth | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Zeglinski | 29 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| M. Scott | 27 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 16 | - |
| S. Landesberg | 24 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Tucker | 23 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| M. Diane | 19 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | - |
| C. Baker | 18 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| A. Sene | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| M. Farrakhan | 15 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| J. Jones | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| J. Meyinsse | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| S. Tat | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Brandenburg | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| W. Sherrill | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter