Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.6% | 85.4% | +9.7 | ✓ (15.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.3% | 98.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.3% | 98.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +25 (79-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Zeglinski | 32 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| S. Landesberg | 29 | 8-10 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 9 | - |
| M. Scott | 26 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| J. Jones | 21 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J. Tucker | 21 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -4 | - |
| A. Sene | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| C. Baker | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Diane | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Tat | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Farrakhan | 8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| J. Meyinsse | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| W. Sherrill | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Smith | 26 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| J. Scheyer | 25 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| G. Henderson | 25 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 13 | - |
| K. Singler | 24 | 2-7 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| G. Paulus | 22 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | - |
| L. Thomas | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| E. Williams | 16 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D. McClure | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| B. Zoubek | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| O. Czyz | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Johnson | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter