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2009-02-01

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Cavaliers Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 27.9% 72.1% -
Bradley-Terry 27.1% 72.9% -
Margin 14.6% 85.4% +9.7 (15.3 off)
Pythagorean 17.8% 82.2% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.3% 98.7% -
Log Adjusted 1.3% 98.7% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +25 (79-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Zeglinski 32 4-9 0-3 0-0 2 5 2 0 3 8 5 -
S. Landesberg 29 8-10 1-1 3-3 2 1 1 0 5 20 9 -
M. Scott 26 4-8 0-0 2-3 4 0 1 0 1 10 6 -
J. Jones 21 1-7 1-5 0-0 5 2 0 0 2 3 1 -
J. Tucker 21 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 4 0 -4 -
A. Sene 17 2-2 0-0 0-3 2 0 0 1 1 4 4 -
C. Baker 15 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 3 2 -
M. Diane 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 3 0 0 -
S. Tat 9 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Farrakhan 8 0-3 0-1 2-2 1 1 0 0 2 2 -1 -
J. Meyinsse 7 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
W. Sherrill 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Smith 26 7-10 1-2 0-1 4 2 1 0 1 15 11 -
J. Scheyer 25 4-9 3-5 0-0 7 2 1 0 1 11 11 -
G. Henderson 25 6-13 2-5 4-4 3 4 2 1 2 18 13 -
K. Singler 24 2-7 0-5 1-2 5 1 1 0 1 5 4 -
G. Paulus 22 3-11 2-7 1-2 2 1 0 0 1 9 0 -
L. Thomas 20 2-3 0-0 1-2 4 2 0 1 1 5 8 -
E. Williams 16 2-7 1-2 1-2 1 1 2 0 0 6 3 -
D. McClure 16 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 0 3 -
B. Zoubek 14 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 4 6 -
M. Plumlee 8 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
O. Czyz 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
S. Johnson 1 1-1 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter