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Virginia Cavaliers

Also known as: Virginia Cavaliers
Program History

2012 Team Stats (22 games)

60.9
PPG
54.2
Opp
+8.3
Margin
45.0%
FG%
32.8%
3P%
70.3%
FT%
31.5
RPG
12.4
APG
11.1
TO
68.2
Pace

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1736 (#21) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1636 (#7) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More → +37.8 (#20) HCA +3.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.424 (#74) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +7.3 More → 0.706 (#41) NetEff +7.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +3.7 More → 0.604 (#52) AdjNet +3.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +3.8 More → 0.608 (#52) AdjNet +3.8

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-13 vs South Carolina State Bulldogs W 75 - 38
2011-11-15 vs Winthrop Eagles W 69 - 48
2011-11-18 vs TCU Horned Frogs L 55 - 57
2011-11-19 vs Drexel Dragons W 49 - 35
2011-11-21 @ Drake Bulldogs W 60 - 52
2011-11-25 vs Green Bay Phoenix W 68 - 42
2011-11-29 vs Michigan Wolverines W 70 - 58
2011-12-03 vs Longwood Lancers W 86 - 53
2011-12-06 vs George Mason Patriots W 68 - 48
2011-12-18 @ Oregon Ducks W 67 - 54
2011-12-21 @ Seattle U Redhawks W 83 - 77
2011-12-27 vs Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks W 69 - 42
2011-12-30 vs Towson Tigers W 57 - 50
2012-01-02 @ LSU Tigers W 57 - 52
2012-01-07 vs Miami Hurricanes W 52 - 51
2012-01-12 @ Duke Blue Devils L 58 - 61
2012-01-19 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 70 - 38
2012-01-22 vs Virginia Tech Hokies L 45 - 47
2012-01-26 vs Boston College Eagles W 66 - 49
2012-01-28 @ NC State Wolfpack W 61 - 60
2012-01-31 vs Clemson Tigers W 65 - 61
2012-02-04 @ Florida State Seminoles L 55 - 58
2012-02-08 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 68 - 44
2012-02-11 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 52 - 70
2012-02-14 @ Clemson Tigers L 48 - 60
2012-02-18 vs Maryland Terrapins W 71 - 44
2012-02-21 @ Virginia Tech Hokies W 61 - 59
2012-02-25 vs North Carolina Tar Heels L 51 - 54
2012-03-01 vs Florida State Seminoles L 60 - 63
2012-03-04 @ Maryland Terrapins W 75 - 72
2012-03-09 vs NC State Wolfpack L 64 - 67
2012-03-16 @ Florida Gators L 45 - 71

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
M. Scott M. Scott F 32 31.2 18.0 8.3 1.2 0.7 0.5 2.1 10.3 16.1 - - - 55.2 23.5 82.4 1.26 74.2 55.8
J. Harris J. Harris G 32 30.3 11.3 3.9 1.7 0.7 0.4 1.4 6.7 9.8 -1 -0.1 -0.1 43.7 40.8 74.3 0.89 73.6 53.0
S. Zeglinski S. Zeglinski G 30 32.3 8.6 3.4 2.7 1.6 0.1 1.7 6.8 7.9 - - - 34.5 31.6 78.8 - 59.5 46.6
J. Evans J. Evans G 32 30.8 7.3 2.0 3.9 1.6 0.2 2.4 5.4 7.2 -2 -0.4 -0.5 45.1 22.2 59.1 0.39 61.1 45.7
M. Brogdon M. Brogdon G 28 22.4 6.7 2.8 1.4 0.5 0.1 1.6 4.3 5.6 - - - 41.3 32.0 76.5 - 69.1 47.9
A. Sene A. Sene C 17 20.9 4.9 3.7 0.4 0.4 0.9 1.1 1.8 7.4 - - - 41.9 0 50.0 - 113.0 41.9
K. Harrell K. Harrell G 11 18.9 4.7 1.0 0.9 0.5 0.4 1.2 1.1 5.3 - - - 0.0 0.0 100.0 - 201.9 0.0
A. Mitchell A. Mitchell F 32 22.0 4.1 4.4 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.8 2.5 7.0 - - - 46.9 0 53.7 - 66.1 46.9
D. Atkins D. Atkins F 27 10.2 2.3 2.3 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.2 1.4 4.2 - - - 56.4 0 53.8 - 68.2 56.4
J. Johnson J. Johnson F 6 6.2 1.5 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 2.7 16 1.8 1.4 0 0 0 1.19 0 0
P. Jesperson P. Jesperson G 21 10.5 1.5 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 2.0 0.2 - - - 27.9 22.6 0 - 36.0 36.0
D. Browman D. Browman G 11 3.2 1.1 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.2 1.8 - - - 100.0 100.0 50.0 - 208.3 150.0
R. Vozenilek R. Vozenilek G 7 2.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 -0.3 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 12.5 0.0
T. Rogers T. Rogers G 7 2.7 0.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
A. Mitchell A. Mitchell F 4 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG