Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Oregon Ducks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.9% | 22.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.2% | 48.8% | -0.3 | ✓ (12.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 80.6% | 19.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Oregon Ducks -13 (54-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Harris * | 35 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | - |
| S. Zeglinski * | 34 | 3-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| J. Evans * | 33 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 10 | - |
| M. Scott * | 28 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 23 | - |
| A. Sene * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| M. Brogdon | 24 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| A. Mitchell | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| D. Atkins | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Harrell | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Oregon Ducks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E.J. Singler * | 32 | 2-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -3 | - |
| G. Sim * | 31 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| T. Woods * | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| J. Loyd * | 21 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - |
| O. Ashaolu * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| D. Joseph | 29 | 7-12 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 7 | - |
| C. Emory | 22 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Jacob | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| B. Kingma | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter