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2012-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Cavaliers Virginia Tech Hokies Spread Result
Elo 68.5% 31.5% -
Bradley-Terry 63.8% 36.2% -
Margin 60.1% 39.9% -2.3 (0.3 off)
Pythagorean 51.3% 48.7% -
Efficiency 89.4% 10.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 68.0% 32.0% -
Log Adjusted 67.9% 32.1% -

Actual: Virginia Tech Hokies -2 (59-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Scott * 35 9-16 1-1 1-1 9 0 0 0 3 20 10 -
J. Harris * 32 1-4 0-3 0-0 1 3 2 0 3 2 1 -
J. Evans * 29 4-4 1-1 4-6 1 5 1 0 4 13 12 -
S. Zeglinski * 27 5-9 3-7 0-0 6 3 2 0 1 13 14 -
A. Mitchell * 25 2-2 0-0 0-2 3 0 2 0 0 4 7 -
P. Jesperson 28 3-5 1-2 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 7 7 -
M. Brogdon 13 1-2 0-1 0-1 0 0 1 0 0 2 1 -
D. Atkins 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 0 0 3 -

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Green * 33 6-10 2-3 5-8 2 0 0 0 0 19 11 -
D. Hudson * 31 2-6 1-2 4-5 4 2 1 0 1 9 9 -
D. Finney-Smith * 28 2-6 2-4 2-2 4 3 1 0 2 8 8 -
C. Raines * 28 3-6 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 6 1 -
J. Eddie * 27 1-2 1-2 0-0 4 0 0 1 2 3 4 -
M. Rankin 22 2-3 2-3 2-2 1 1 0 0 2 8 5 -
R. Brown 19 1-5 0-2 2-4 0 2 1 0 2 4 0 -
C.J. Barksdale 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter