Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 85.2% | 14.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.9% | 45.1% | -1.1 | ✗ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles +3 (58-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Zeglinski * | 37 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| J. Evans * | 36 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 5 | - |
| J. Harris * | 33 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 9 | - |
| M. Scott * | 32 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 13 | - |
| A. Mitchell * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - |
| M. Brogdon | 22 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | - |
| D. Atkins | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. Jesperson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Dulkys * | 33 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -1 | - |
| M. Snaer * | 30 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 2 | - |
| L. Loucks * | 25 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| B. James * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| X. Gibson * | 21 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| O. White | 28 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| I. Miller | 18 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| J. Peterson | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J. Kreft | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter