Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | LSU Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.5% | 39.5% | -2.3 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 91.5% | 8.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: LSU Tigers -5 (52-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Evans * | 37 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| M. Scott * | 35 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| J. Harris * | 35 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| S. Zeglinski * | 34 | 6-12 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | - |
| A. Sene * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| A. Mitchell | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| M. Brogdon | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Atkins | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| P. Jesperson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Hickey Jr. * | 37 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| J. Hamilton * | 36 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 18 | - |
| A. Stringer * | 24 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -2 | - |
| J. O'Bryant III * | 24 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| R. Turner * | 21 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| S. Warren | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Isaac | 17 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Bass | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| J. Courtney | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. White | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| E. Ludwig | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter