Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | LSU Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.9% | 37.1% | -2.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.6% | 19.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.8% | 19.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LSU Tigers -5 (52-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Evans * | 37 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| M. Scott * | 35 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| J. Harris * | 35 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| S. Zeglinski * | 34 | 6-12 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | - |
| A. Sene * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| A. Mitchell | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| M. Brogdon | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Atkins | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| P. Jesperson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Hickey * | 37 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Justin Hamilton * | 36 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Andre Stringer * | 24 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -2 | - |
| Johnny O'Bryant * | 24 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Ralston Turner * | 21 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Storm Warren | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| John Isaac | 17 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Chris Bass | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Jalen Courtney | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Malcolm White | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Eddie Ludwig | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter