Model Predictions
| Model | Towson Tigers | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.1% | 98.9% | +29.6 | ✓ (22.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.4% | 97.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.4% | 99.6% | +30.9 | ✓ (23.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 6.4% | 93.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +7 (57-50). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Towson Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deon Jones * | 35 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Marcus Damas * | 35 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Kris Walden * | 35 | 6-13 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 1 | - |
| Robert Nwankwo * | 34 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Erique Gumbs * | 29 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 3-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Jervon Pressley | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Alex Giergen | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Will Adams | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jamel Flash | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jontel Evans * | 35 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Sammy Zeglinski * | 35 | 6-12 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Joe Harris * | 35 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 5-9 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Mike Scott * | 26 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Assane Sene * | 18 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Akil Mitchell | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - |
| Malcolm Brogdon | 20 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Darion Atkins | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Paul Jesperson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter