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2011-11-21

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Cavaliers Drake Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 87.5% 12.5% -
Bradley-Terry 77.4% 22.6% -
Margin 77.1% 22.9% -6.7 (1.3 off)
Pythagorean 40.7% 59.3% -
Efficiency 95.9% 4.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 71.3% 28.7% -
Log Adjusted 71.8% 28.2% -

Actual: Drake Bulldogs -8 (52-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Harris * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 3 18 19 -
M. Scott * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 2 0 0 4 14 21 -
J. Evans * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 3 1 0 -
A. Sene * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 3 0 1 7 10 -
K. Harrell * 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 3 0 -1 -
M. Brogdon 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 1 8 15 -
S. Zeglinski 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 3 0 1 4 10 -
A. Mitchell 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 6 9 -
J. Johnson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Simons * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 14 19 -
J. Clarke * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 3 0 3 0 4 -
K. Madison * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 9 15 -
R. Rice * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 3 0 3 12 14 -
K. Woods * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 2 4 -
K. Alexander 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 2 4 -
A. Hawley 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 5 5 -
D. Smith 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 2 2 -
J. Jeffers 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 6 6 -

* = starter