Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Florida Gators | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 28.8% | 71.2% | +5.0 | ✓ (21.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.0% | 92.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.9% | 92.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida Gators +26 (71-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Evans * | 38 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| S. Zeglinski * | 37 | 3-11 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| J. Harris * | 35 | 2-9 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| A. Mitchell * | 32 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| M. Scott * | 32 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| P. Jesperson | 19 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| D. Atkins | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| D. Browman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
Florida Gators
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Beal * | 32 | 5-8 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 17 | - |
| E. Walker * | 31 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| K. Boynton * | 27 | 3-10 | 0-5 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| E. Murphy * | 24 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| P. Young * | 22 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| C. Prather | 22 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| S. Wilbekin | 22 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| M. Rosario | 12 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| C. Larson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter