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Villanova

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Villanova Wildcats, Villanova
Program History
Coach: Jay Wright

2016 Team Stats (33 games)

78.0
PPG
64.2
Opp
+13.8
Margin
48.1%
FG%
36.6%
3P%
79.1%
FT%
34.8
RPG
16.4
APG
11.2
TO
-
Est. poss./game
79.4
Adj PPG
58.1
Adj Opp PPG
#1
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2015-2016
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1603 (#1) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1451 (#1) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +98 elo More → 1297 (#1) HCA +98 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +22.6 (#1) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +26.8 (#1) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.912 (#4) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +32.8 More → 0.978 (#1) AdjNet +32.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +33.0 More → 0.978 (#1) AdjNet +33.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 79.4 | AdjD 58.1 More → 0.873 (#1) AdjO 79.4 | AdjD 58.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 80.3 | AdjD 60.3 More → 0.861 (#1) AdjO 80.3 | AdjD 60.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.942 (#1) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.940 (#1) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 85 | GP 40 More → 1481 (#1) RD 85 | GP 40

2016 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2015-11-13 vs Fairleigh Dickinson Knights W 91 - 54
2015-11-17 vs Nebraska Cornhuskers W 87 - 63
2015-11-20 vs East Tennessee State Buccaneers W 86 - 51
2015-11-22 vs Akron Zips W 75 - 56
2015-11-26 vs Stanford Cardinal W 59 - 45
2015-11-27 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 69 - 52
2015-12-01 @ Saint Joseph's Hawks W 86 - 72
2015-12-07 vs Oklahoma Sooners L 55 - 78
2015-12-13 vs La Salle Explorers W 76 - 47
2015-12-19 @ Virginia Cavaliers L 75 - 86
2015-12-22 vs Delaware Blue Hens W 78 - 48
2015-12-28 vs Pennsylvania Quakers W 77 - 57
2015-12-31 vs Xavier Musketeers W 95 - 64
2016-01-02 @ Creighton Bluejays W 85 - 71
2016-01-06 vs Seton Hall Pirates W 72 - 63
2016-01-10 @ Butler Bulldogs W 60 - 55
2016-01-13 vs Marquette Golden Eagles W 83 - 68
2016-01-16 @ Georgetown Hoyas W 55 - 50
2016-01-20 @ Seton Hall Pirates W 72 - 71
2016-01-23 vs Providence Friars - Postponed
2016-01-24 vs Providence Friars L 76 - 82
2016-01-31 @ St. John's Red Storm W 68 - 53
2016-02-03 vs Creighton Bluejays W 83 - 58
2016-02-06 @ Providence Friars W 72 - 60
2016-02-09 @ DePaul Blue Demons W 86 - 59
2016-02-13 vs St. John's Red Storm W 73 - 63
2016-02-17 @ Temple Owls W 83 - 67
2016-02-20 vs Butler Bulldogs W 77 - 67
2016-02-24 @ Xavier Musketeers L 83 - 90
2016-02-27 @ Marquette Golden Eagles W 89 - 79
2016-03-01 vs DePaul Blue Demons W 83 - 62
2016-03-05 vs Georgetown Hoyas W 84 - 71
2016-03-10 vs Georgetown Hoyas W 81 - 67
2016-03-11 vs Providence Friars W 76 - 68
2016-03-12 vs Seton Hall Pirates L 67 - 69
2016-03-18 vs UNC Asheville Bulldogs W 86 - 56
2016-03-20 vs Iowa Hawkeyes W 87 - 68
2016-03-24 vs Miami Hurricanes W 92 - 69
2016-03-26 @ Kansas Jayhawks W 64 - 59
2016-04-02 @ Oklahoma Sooners W 95 - 51
2016-04-04 @ North Carolina Tar Heels W 77 - 74

2016 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Josh Hart Josh Hart G 39 31.4 15.6 6.8 1.9 1.2 0.3 1.6 9.7 14.4 362 32 11.3 15.9 50.8 34.6 74.2 4.79 70.6 56.6
Kris Jenkins Kris Jenkins F 39 28.4 13.8 4.0 2.2 0.8 0.4 1.3 8.5 11.4 294 32 9.2 14.2 45.3 38.9 85.0 3.41 71.9 58.3
Ryan Arcidiacono Ryan Arcidiacono G 39 32.1 12.5 3.0 4.3 1.4 0.0 1.5 8.3 11.4 377 32 11.8 16.0 42.2 37.3 84.5 4.79 66.9 51.9
Daniel Ochefu Daniel Ochefu F 36 23.4 10.1 7.4 1.7 0.8 1.6 1.3 5.5 14.8 267 30 8.9 16.8 64.1 0.0 69.5 0.92 77.5 64.1
Jalen Brunson Jalen Brunson - 39 24.0 9.7 1.7 2.5 0.7 0.0 1.8 6.0 6.8 277 32 8.7 15.8 47.6 41.8 76.9 3.82 69.0 57.5
Phil Booth Phil Booth G 39 21.8 6.9 2.1 2.2 0.8 0.1 1.4 5.1 5.5 215 32 6.7 13.5 34.0 29.7 85.7 1.4 60.3 41.5
Mikal Bridges Mikal Bridges - 39 20.2 6.4 3.1 0.9 1.0 0.6 0.6 3.6 7.8 117 32 3.7 8.1 53.5 31.7 81.0 -0.33 74.3 60.6
Darryl Reynolds Darryl Reynolds F 39 17.2 3.7 4.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.8 7.0 88 32 2.8 7.2 64.8 0 75.8 -2.11 72.8 64.8
Donte DiVincenzo Donte DiVincenzo - 8 9.0 1.9 2.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.9 1.0 3.0 5 6 0.8 4.9 37.5 28.6 0 -1.99 93.8 50.0
Patrick Farrell Patrick Farrell F 16 1.9 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 -2 11 -0.2 -4.4 40.0 40.0 0 -1.93 60.0 60.0
Kevin Rafferty Kevin Rafferty F 15 1.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 -0.1 -4 11 -0.4 -8.4 40.0 0.0 0 -2.48 40.0 40.0
Henry Lowe Henry Lowe G 15 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.1 -0.1 -11 11 -1.0 -20.8 0.0 0.0 0 -3.62 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG