Model Predictions
| Model | East Tennessee State Buccaneers | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.1% | 96.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.0% | 99.0% | +25.3 | ✓ (9.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +35 (86-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Cromer * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Deuce Bello * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Ge'Lawn Guyn * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| A.J. Merriweather * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Peter Jurkin * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Petey McClain | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - |
| Desonta Bradford | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Nigel Holley | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Lester Wilson | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Isaac Banks | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Abednego Lufile | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Toriano Stokes | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Stetson Moore | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Ochefu * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 31 | - |
| Kris Jenkins * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 22 | - |
| Josh Hart * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Jalen Brunson * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Ryan Arcidiacono * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 20 | - |
| Phil Booth | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Donte DiVincenzo | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Darryl Reynolds | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Mikal Bridges | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Henry Lowe | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Patrick Farrell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kevin Rafferty | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter