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2016-03-24

Model Predictions

Model Miami Hurricanes Villanova Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 18.6% 81.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 27.5% 72.5% - โœ“
Margin 18.9% 81.1% +8.0 โœ“ (15.0 off)
Pythagorean 43.1% 56.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 21.1% 78.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 21.2% 78.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 32.5% 67.5% - โœ“

Actual: Villanova Wildcats +23 (92-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Miami Hurricanes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Rodriguez * 36 5-11 3-4 0-0 1 8 2 0 4 13 9 -
S. Mac * 32 8-12 5-7 5-6 2 0 0 0 3 26 13 -
D. Reed * 30 4-9 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 8 1 -
K. Murphy * 29 3-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 6 6 -
T. Jekiri * 22 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 2 5 -
J. Newton 20 0-4 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 0 -4 -
A. Lawrence II 17 3-4 1-2 1-2 1 0 2 0 0 8 7 -
J. Palmer Jr. 9 1-2 1-2 3-5 1 0 0 0 0 6 5 -
E. Izundu 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 3 -
M. Robinson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Stowell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Villanova Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kris Jenkins * 35 8-10 5-6 0-0 9 4 1 1 2 21 24 -
Ryan Arcidiacono * 35 7-11 4-7 3-3 3 4 3 0 1 21 19 -
Daniel Ochefu * 29 7-11 0-0 3-4 2 1 1 0 2 17 8 -
Jalen Brunson * 22 1-2 1-1 2-2 1 2 1 0 1 5 6 -
Josh Hart * 21 5-9 0-0 4-4 3 3 1 0 1 14 11 -
Mikal Bridges 26 1-2 0-0 2-2 3 1 1 0 0 4 7 -
Darryl Reynolds 15 2-3 0-0 4-4 5 0 0 0 0 8 10 -
Phil Booth 14 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 2 1 -
Henry Lowe 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Kevin Rafferty 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Patrick Farrell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter