Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Hawkeyes | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.9% | 90.1% | +15.1 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.7% | 85.3% | +9.7 | ✓ (9.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +19 (87-68). Ratings: 2015-16 season-end ratings.
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Jok * | 33 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Jarrod Uthoff * | 31 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Mike Gesell * | 28 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Adam Woodbury * | 28 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Anthony Clemmons * | 19 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Nicholas Baer | 25 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Ahmad Wagner | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Dom Uhl | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Christian Williams | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Okey Ukah | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Steven Soukup | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Michael Soukup | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Andrew Fleming | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Brady Ellingson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kris Jenkins * | 31 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Ryan Arcidiacono * | 29 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Daniel Ochefu * | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 19 | - |
| Jalen Brunson * | 27 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Josh Hart * | 27 | 7-11 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Phil Booth | 22 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Mikal Bridges | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Darryl Reynolds | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Henry Lowe | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kevin Rafferty | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Patrick Farrell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter