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2016-01-02

Model Predictions

Model Villanova Wildcats Creighton Bluejays Spread Result
Elo 89.0% 11.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 83.2% 16.8% - โœ“
Margin 78.4% 21.6% -7.1 โœ“ (6.9 off)
Pythagorean 51.9% 48.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 87.9% 12.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 88.0% 12.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 64.5% 35.5% - โœ“

Actual: Creighton Bluejays -14 (71-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Villanova Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ryan Arcidiacono * 38 3-7 1-5 3-4 4 4 2 0 3 10 10 -
Josh Hart * 33 10-14 2-4 3-4 5 2 3 1 1 25 21 -
Jalen Brunson * 30 6-8 2-3 1-3 2 1 0 0 2 15 8 -
Daniel Ochefu * 23 9-10 0-0 1-1 7 1 2 2 4 19 17 -
Kris Jenkins * 19 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 6 0 0 0 2 7 -
Phil Booth 27 3-5 1-3 2-2 2 5 0 0 3 9 8 -
Mikal Bridges 19 2-3 0-1 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 5 6 -
Darryl Reynolds 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 3 -

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Zierden * 39 4-9 2-7 4-4 2 2 0 0 2 14 7 -
M. Watson Jr. * 29 6-13 0-1 3-6 0 4 3 0 1 15 8 -
C. Huff * 27 5-11 0-5 3-4 3 0 0 0 0 13 5 -
G. Groselle * 25 1-1 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 1 4 7 -
K. Thomas * 23 1-6 0-3 0-0 7 2 2 0 2 2 5 -
J. Milliken 19 2-3 1-2 2-2 0 2 0 0 2 7 4 -
T. Hegner 16 2-6 2-5 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 6 5 -
Z. Hanson 10 3-4 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 8 4 -
M. Albert 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
T. Clement 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
R. Harrell Jr. 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter