Model Predictions
| Model | Villanova Wildcats | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.3% | 53.7% | +0.8 | ✓ (10.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +11 (86-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Arcidiacono * | 34 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Daniel Ochefu * | 32 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Kris Jenkins * | 32 | 5-13 | 5-11 | 8-9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Josh Hart * | 31 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Jalen Brunson * | 24 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Mikal Bridges | 22 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Phil Booth | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Darryl Reynolds | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Brogdon * | 38 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 12-12 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 23 | - |
| L. Perrantes * | 34 | 5-10 | 3-4 | 6-7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 11 | - |
| A. Gill * | 33 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 22 | - |
| I. Wilkins * | 30 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| D. Thompson * | 22 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Dallin Hall | 18 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -2 | - |
| M. Tobey | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Shayok | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| E. Nolte | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Reuter | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter