Model Predictions
| Model | Xavier Musketeers | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.7% | 83.3% | +10.5 | ✓ (20.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.9% | 82.1% | +8.4 | ✓ (22.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +31 (95-64). Ratings: 2015-16 season-end ratings.
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevon Bluiett * | 31 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 7-7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Remy Abell * | 31 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Myles Davis * | 27 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Jalen Reynolds * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Edmond Sumner * | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| James Farr | 24 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| J.P. Macura | 22 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Larry Austin | 19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Sean O'Mara | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Kaiser Gates | 12 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kris Jenkins * | 35 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Ryan Arcidiacono * | 34 | 10-19 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 16 | - |
| Daniel Ochefu * | 27 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 22 | - |
| Phil Booth * | 22 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Josh Hart * | 15 | 6-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Mikal Bridges | 29 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Darryl Reynolds | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jalen Brunson | 17 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Patrick Farrell | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Kevin Rafferty | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter