Model Predictions
| Model | Providence Friars | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.5% | 93.5% | +14.7 | ✓ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.0% | 96.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.0% | 96.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +8 (76-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Providence Friars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Dunn * | 40 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 7-11 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| J. Lindsey * | 35 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| R. Bullock * | 30 | 7-11 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| B. Bentil * | 26 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | - |
| J. Lomomba * | 22 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| K. Cartwright | 28 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| D. Edwards | 10 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| R. Fazekas | 9 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Arcidiacono * | 36 | 6-16 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Kris Jenkins * | 34 | 9-14 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Josh Hart * | 28 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Darryl Reynolds * | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Jalen Brunson * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Phil Booth | 27 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Mikal Bridges | 19 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Daniel Ochefu | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
* = starter