Model Predictions
| Model | Pennsylvania Quakers | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.6% | 97.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.4% | 99.6% | +30.9 | ✓ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 6.5% | 93.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +20 (77-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pennsylvania Quakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Donahue * | 31 | 6-13 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Matt Howard * | 26 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Darien Nelson-Henry * | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Darnell Foreman * | 23 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Antonio Woods * | 14 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Jake Silpe | 25 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Sam Jones | 21 | 1-9 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jamal Lewis | 12 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Mike Auger | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Dan Dwyer | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Tyler Hamilton | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Collin McManus | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dylan Jones | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Max Rothschild | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phil Booth * | 31 | 1-10 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Jalen Brunson * | 30 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 9-10 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Josh Hart * | 27 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 2-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Ryan Arcidiacono * | 25 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Daniel Ochefu * | 20 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Mikal Bridges | 24 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Darryl Reynolds | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Kris Jenkins | 19 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Henry Lowe | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kevin Rafferty | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Patrick Farrell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter