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2015-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Pennsylvania Quakers Villanova Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 6.8% 93.2% -
Bradley-Terry 9.5% 90.5% -
Margin 2.5% 97.5% +20.2 (0.2 off)
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Villanova Wildcats +20 (77-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pennsylvania Quakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Donahue * 31 6-13 5-12 1-4 4 2 3 0 1 18 13 +9.7
M. Howard * 26 4-8 1-3 2-4 4 0 2 2 1 11 10 +13.2
D. Nelson-Henry * 24 4-6 0-0 1-2 6 1 0 2 2 9 10 -
D. Foreman * 23 1-7 0-4 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 2 -4 -4.0
A. Woods * 14 0-4 0-2 0-2 1 1 0 0 2 0 -4 -
J. Silpe 25 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 6 0 1 1 0 6 +9.7
S. Jones 21 1-9 1-9 0-0 7 1 0 1 1 3 2 -
J. Lewis 12 2-4 0-1 2-2 0 1 0 0 2 6 1 -
M. Auger 8 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 0 -4.5
D. Dwyer 6 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 4 4 -
T. Hamilton 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
C. McManus 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Jones 2 1-1 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 +13.2
M. Rothschild 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Villanova Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Booth * 31 1-10 0-3 3-4 7 0 1 0 2 5 1 -6.1
J. Brunson * 30 6-10 1-2 9-10 1 5 1 0 2 22 17 -
J. Hart * 27 5-8 0-2 2-6 5 0 1 0 0 12 10 +5.5
R. Arcidiacono * 25 5-10 0-1 3-5 6 3 1 0 1 13 12 -
D. Ochefu * 20 4-5 0-0 4-5 10 2 0 1 2 12 18 -11.5
M. Bridges 24 2-3 0-1 3-6 5 0 2 1 1 7 11 -
D. Reynolds 21 1-2 0-0 2-5 6 0 0 1 0 4 9 -6.2
K. Jenkins 19 1-3 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 1 -11.4
H. Lowe 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
K. Rafferty 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
P. Farrell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter