Model Predictions
| Model | Georgetown Hoyas | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.5% | 96.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.4% | 92.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.9% | 95.1% | +16.3 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.7% | 97.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.7% | 97.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +13 (84-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Georgetown Hoyas
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Derrickson * | 36 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| D'Vauntes Smith-Rivera * | 35 | 1-11 | 0-7 | 5-6 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Tre Campbell * | 30 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Isaac Copeland * | 28 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Jessie Govan * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L.J. Peak | 32 | 10-16 | 2-5 | 9-12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 20 | - |
| Kaleb Johnson | 14 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Reggie Cameron | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Riyan Williams | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Trey Mourning | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kris Jenkins * | 33 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Ryan Arcidiacono * | 32 | 6-11 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Josh Hart * | 30 | 6-11 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Jalen Brunson * | 24 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Daniel Ochefu * | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Phil Booth | 24 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Mikal Bridges | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Darryl Reynolds | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Henry Lowe | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kevin Rafferty | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Patrick Farrell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter