Model Predictions
| Model | Villanova Wildcats | Saint Joseph's Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.1% | 22.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 81.2% | 18.8% | -8.1 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.2% | 11.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.4% | 11.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Joseph's Hawks -14 (72-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hart * | 34 | 7-13 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Kris Jenkins * | 33 | 6-14 | 2-9 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Ryan Arcidiacono * | 32 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Jalen Brunson * | 27 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Daniel Ochefu * | 17 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Phil Booth | 22 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Mikal Bridges | 18 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Darryl Reynolds | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Donte DiVincenzo | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Saint Joseph's Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeAndre Bembry * | 40 | 8-18 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Aaron Brown * | 33 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Shavar Newkirk * | 31 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Isaiah Miles * | 30 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Pierfrancesco Oliva * | 17 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| James Demery | 26 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Lamarr Kimble | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Javon Baumann | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Markell Lodge | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Chris Clover | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter