Model Predictions
| Model | Creighton Bluejays | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.8% | 94.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.2% | 89.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.8% | 91.2% | +12.9 | ✓ (12.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.1% | 93.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.0% | 94.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +25 (83-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Creighton Bluejays
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Watson Jr. * | 29 | 5-13 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 8 | - |
| I. Zierden * | 26 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| K. Thomas * | 21 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| T. Hegner * | 21 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Z. Hanson * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| J. Milliken | 20 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| C. Huff | 18 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| G. Groselle | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| R. Harrell Jr. | 14 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| M. Albert | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Stewart | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Clement | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darryl Reynolds * | 31 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Ryan Arcidiacono * | 30 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Kris Jenkins * | 29 | 7-11 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Josh Hart * | 28 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Jalen Brunson * | 27 | 6-9 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Phil Booth | 27 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Mikal Bridges | 24 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Henry Lowe | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kevin Rafferty | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Patrick Farrell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter