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UMBC

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: UMBC Retrievers
Program History
Coach: Jim Ferry

2026 Team Stats (31 games)

76.5
PPG
67.1
Opp
+9.4
Margin
47.0%
FG%
36.3%
3P%
75.4%
FT%
35.8
RPG
11.8
APG
9.5
TO
75.2
Pace
72.0
AdjO
74.8
AdjD
#207
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1164 (#63) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 999 (#182) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 1161 (#12) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → -3.0 (#211) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +16.9 (#117) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.757 (#44) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +18.5 More → 0.865 (#60) NetEff +18.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -3.8 More → 0.392 (#209) AdjNet -3.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -4.0 More → 0.386 (#211) AdjNet -4.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.0 | AdjD 74.8 More → 0.436 (#207) AdjO 72.0 | AdjD 74.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 77.3 | AdjD 66.9 More → 0.720 (#34) AdjO 77.3 | AdjD 66.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.808 (#121) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.801 (#94) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 119 | GP 31 More → 1146 (#95) RD 119 | GP 31

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-04 vs Penn State-York Nittany Lions W 74 - 53
2025-11-08 @ Dayton Flyers L 71 - 77
2025-11-11 @ Morgan State Bears W 81 - 79
2025-11-16 vs Wagner Seahawks W 71 - 70
2025-11-19 @ George Washington Revolutionaries L 52 - 89
2025-11-24 vs Notre Dame (MD) Gators W 102 - 52
2025-11-29 vs Delaware State Hornets W 71 - 57
2025-12-03 @ Georgetown Hoyas L 81 - 90
2025-12-12 vs Army Black Knights L 60 - 63
2025-12-21 @ South Florida Bulls L 69 - 94
2025-12-29 @ Coppin State Eagles W 93 - 59
2026-01-08 vs Maine Black Bears W 69 - 62
2026-01-10 vs New Hampshire Wildcats W 75 - 74
2026-01-15 @ Bryant Bulldogs L 74 - 79
2026-01-19 @ Binghamton Bearcats W 78 - 60
2026-01-22 vs NJIT Highlanders W 87 - 74
2026-01-24 vs UMass Lowell River Hawks W 79 - 56
2026-01-29 @ Vermont Catamounts L 55 - 64
2026-01-31 @ UAlbany Great Danes W 68 - 65
2026-02-05 vs Binghamton Bearcats W 79 - 62
2026-02-12 @ Maine Black Bears W 78 - 62
2026-02-14 @ New Hampshire Wildcats W 85 - 63
2026-02-19 vs Vermont Catamounts W 75 - 62
2026-02-21 vs UAlbany Great Danes W 66 - 62
2026-02-26 vs Bryant Bulldogs W 70 - 58
2026-02-28 @ UMass Lowell River Hawks W 84 - 60
2026-03-03 @ NJIT Highlanders W 91 - 52
2026-03-07 vs New Hampshire Wildcats W 84 - 69
2026-03-10 vs UMass Lowell River Hawks W 91 - 69
2026-03-14 vs Vermont Catamounts W 74 - 59
2026-03-17 @ Howard Bison L 83 - 86

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jah'Likai King Jah'Likai King - 30 32.2 13.7 3.5 1.5 0.9 0.2 1.3 11.2 7.2 20 1.1 1.6 40.8 32.4 82.0 -0.29 53.3 47.5
D. Armstrong D. Armstrong - 31 32.3 13.5 2.9 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.9 9.3 9.3 93 4.7 6.9 46.7 42.6 92.9 -0.18 65.9 61.7
Ace Valentine Ace Valentine - 30 32.9 11.9 4.3 3.8 0.9 0.0 1.3 8.5 11.2 71 3.7 6.0 50.4 35.6 76.5 -0.19 61.4 57.7
C. Diggs C. Diggs F 30 22.7 9.8 3.8 0.9 0.6 0.3 1.3 7.9 6.4 89 4.9 9.8 47.5 34.3 74.2 -0.02 55.6 52.3
J. Odunowo J. Odunowo - 28 22.4 8.3 5.1 0.9 0.2 0.4 1.0 5.5 8.4 56 2.9 6.9 52.3 0 73.7 0.17 58.9 52.3
Jose Roberto Tanchyn Jose Roberto Tanchyn - 30 19.9 6.7 5.9 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.8 5.2 8.7 45 2.4 7.6 48.4 37.3 64.9 -0.24 58.0 56.4
Daylon Dickerson Daylon Dickerson - 19 14.3 6.2 3.4 1.2 0.3 0.3 1.0 3.6 6.8 -4 -0.2 -0.8 58.8 28.6 74.5 -0.65 66.0 60.3
C. Downing C. Downing - 29 12.7 4.1 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.3 3.3 2.3 41 2.3 10.2 41.1 38.4 81.2 -0.44 58.3 55.8
Riley Jacobs Riley Jacobs - 30 15.0 4.1 3.7 0.7 0.3 0.5 0.9 3.2 5.2 61 3.2 9.6 48.5 0.0 54.5 0.13 51.2 48.5
Tim Eze Tim Eze - 14 5.9 1.9 1.1 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.4 1.7 1.5 10 1.1 14.4 45.8 0.0 62.5 0.0 49.1 45.8
Paul Greene Paul Greene - 20 7.4 1.9 2.2 0.2 0.6 0.0 0.6 1.6 2.7 -33 -3.3 -18.8 45.5 0 60.0 -0.65 49.2 45.5
Jake Stout Jake Stout - 10 3.5 1.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.2 0.5 6 1.5 71.6 41.7 25.0 100.0 0.03 52.3 50.0
Saahil Thakkar Saahil Thakkar - 6 1.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 -0.2 -2 -0.7 -75.0 25.0 25.0 0 -0.02 37.5 37.5
D. Ceaser D. Ceaser G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - -8 -2.7 -24.5 - - - -0.15 - -
R. Ciunys R. Ciunys F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG