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2026-01-29

Model Predictions

Model UMBC Retrievers Vermont Catamounts Spread Result
Elo 59.7% 40.3% -
Bradley-Terry 57.7% 42.3% -
Margin 50.4% 49.6% -0.1 (9.1 off)
Pythagorean 52.4% 47.6% -
Points Off/Def 51.0% 49.0% -

Actual: Vermont Catamounts +9 (64-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UMBC Retrievers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Valentine 35 1-7 0-4 3-4 4 3 0 0 2 5 3 -7.2
D. Armstrong 33 2-8 2-6 2-4 4 1 2 0 0 8 7 -10.2
C. Diggs 29 5-9 0-2 4-4 3 2 1 1 1 14 11 +0.8
J. Tanchyn 28 4-12 2-6 3-5 4 0 1 0 2 13 4 -6.3
J. King 28 3-10 2-7 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 8 2 -10.3
J. Odunowo 19 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 4 2 -9.3
R. Jacobs 12 1-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 3 4 -0.6
D. Dickerson 10 0-3 0-1 0-0 7 0 0 1 0 0 5 -2.8
C. Downing 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 +6.1

Vermont Catamounts

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Blake 33 1-3 0-0 3-7 10 5 1 0 2 5 16 +12.5
TJ Hurley 33 7-11 4-8 0-0 7 0 0 0 2 18 12 +10.9
B. Johnson 30 4-7 3-6 0-0 3 2 0 1 0 11 10 +6.2
G. Yalden 29 2-13 0-6 4-6 3 5 0 0 3 8 0 +7.3
B. Michaels 28 1-3 1-2 1-2 2 0 0 2 0 4 5 +9.5
L. Mari 23 4-8 3-7 5-6 6 1 0 0 0 16 15 +0.3
N. Barnett 13 0-1 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 1 0 0 3 -2.4
J. Skipper 8 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 0 -3.2
D. Simon 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -2.1

* = starter