Model Predictions
| Model | Maine Black Bears | UMBC Retrievers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.6% | 95.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.5% | 87.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.8% | 93.2% | +14.4 | ✓ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 9.0% | 91.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.2% | 96.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.2% | 96.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UMBC Retrievers +7 (69-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Maine Black Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Biel | 36 | 11-18 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 27 | 20 | -1.4 |
| A. Flagg | 35 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -3.4 |
| R. Mabrey | 34 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +1.0 |
| L. Carey | 28 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +6.3 |
| C. Crawford | 24 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | -8.0 |
| A. Allen | 18 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -8.5 |
| B. N'Galang | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -11.6 |
| Y. Bamba | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -1.0 |
| I. Bonilla | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.9 |
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. King | 36 | 4-13 | 2-4 | 5-7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | +4.2 |
| A. Valentine | 34 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | +1.3 |
| D. Armstrong | 33 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | -0.7 |
| J. Odunowo | 28 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +4.9 |
| R. Jacobs | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | -1.1 |
| C. Diggs | 23 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | +9.0 |
| P. Greene | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1.4 |
| D. Dickerson | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | +3.8 |
| C. Downing | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +5.9 |
* = starter