Model Predictions
| Model | New Hampshire Wildcats | UMBC Retrievers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.3% | 92.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.6% | 93.4% | +14.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.4% | 96.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.3% | 96.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UMBC Retrievers +15 (84-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Hampshire Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Bike | 36 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| B. El Shakery | 34 | 8-16 | 0-1 | 4-8 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 13 | - |
| D. Poser | 32 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| K. Robinson | 28 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| J. Squire | 28 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| J. Graham | 26 | 7-12 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 7 | - |
| C. Emuobor | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Kennedy | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Blackley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Xanthopoulos | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. King | 33 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| A. Valentine | 32 | 7-11 | 5-8 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 21 | - |
| D. Armstrong | 28 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| J. Tanchyn | 23 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| C. Diggs | 22 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| J. Odunowo | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| R. Jacobs | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| C. Downing | 15 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| P. Greene | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Stout | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Eze | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter