Model Predictions
| Model | Delaware State Hornets | UMBC Retrievers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.7% | 97.3% | +25.7 | ✓ (11.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.6% | 97.4% | +19.9 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 9.9% | 90.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UMBC Retrievers +14 (71-57). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Delaware State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ponce James * | 33 | 7-14 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Zion Bethea * | 26 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Ademar Santos * | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Cyril Obasogie * | 13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Rahmir Moore * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jalen St Clair | 19 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Corey Perkins | 18 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Miles Webb | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Bessanty Saragba | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Kareem Watson | 12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| John Clemmons | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Dean Shepherd | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Armstrong Jr. * | 34 | 4-10 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Jah'Likai King * | 33 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Ace Valentine * | 26 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Josh Odunowo * | 25 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Riley Jacobs * | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Caden Diggs | 20 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Daylon Dickerson | 19 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Cougar Downing | 16 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| J. Tanchyn | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tim Eze | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter