Model Predictions
| Model | UMBC Retrievers | Maine Black Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 91.3% | 8.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.7% | 20.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 85.8% | 14.2% | -9.9 | ✓ (6.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 75.0% | 25.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 85.0% | 15.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.8% | 9.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.8% | 9.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Maine Black Bears -16 (62-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Valentine | 32 | 8-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| D. Armstrong | 29 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| J. King | 28 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| J. Odunowo | 28 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| C. Diggs | 22 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| R. Jacobs | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| J. Tanchyn | 16 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| C. Downing | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| P. Greene | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| T. Eze | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Stout | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Thakkar | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Maine Black Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Carey | 33 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| TJ Biel | 31 | 8-14 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 16 | - |
| M. Gray | 30 | 1-10 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | - |
| A. Allen | 23 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| C. Crawford | 21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| R. Mabrey | 21 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| A. Flagg | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Y. Bamba | 14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| E. Byther | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. N'Galang | 4 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| I. Bonilla | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter