Model Predictions
| Model | UMBC Retrievers | Howard Bison | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.1% | 48.9% | -2.0 | ✗ (5.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.0% | 60.0% | +2.2 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Howard Bison +3 (86-83). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Armstrong Jr. * | 36 | 5-11 | 3-8 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | +12.4 |
| Ace Valentine * | 36 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | -0.1 |
| Jah'Likai King * | 33 | 7-15 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 5 | -10.8 |
| J. Tanchyn * | 21 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | -11.9 |
| Josh Odunowo * | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | +7.4 |
| Caden Diggs | 31 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | +9.4 |
| Cougar Downing | 14 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | -0.8 |
| Riley Jacobs | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +3.3 |
| Paul Greene | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.9 |
Howard Bison
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Gillus * | 38 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1.8 |
| Alex Cotton * | 36 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | -2.9 |
| Bryce Harris * | 36 | 6-12 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 26 | +4.3 |
| Ose Okojie * | 34 | 9-15 | 3-3 | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 12 | +6.5 |
| Cedric Taylor III * | 31 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 9-10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | -1.4 |
| Travelle Bryson | 10 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | +2.1 |
| Isaiah Brown | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -9.5 |
| Calvin Robins Jr. | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +5.7 |
| Danas Kazakevicius | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -6.3 |
* = starter