Model Predictions
| Model | UMBC Retrievers | Howard Bison | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.3% | 60.7% | +2.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 86.6% | 13.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Howard Bison +3 (86-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Valentine | 36 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| D. Armstrong | 36 | 5-11 | 3-8 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - |
| J. King | 33 | 7-15 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 5 | - |
| C. Diggs | 31 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| J. Tanchyn | 21 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| J. Odunowo | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| C. Downing | 14 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| R. Jacobs | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| P. Greene | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Howard Bison
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Gillus | 38 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| B. Harris | 36 | 6-12 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 26 | - |
| A. Cotton | 36 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| O. Okojie | 34 | 9-15 | 3-3 | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 12 | - |
| C. Taylor III | 31 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 9-10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | - |
| T. Bryson | 10 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| I. Brown | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| C. Robins Jr. | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Kazakevicius | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter