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2026-02-14

Model Predictions

Model UMBC Retrievers New Hampshire Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 86.4% 13.6% -
Bradley-Terry 78.5% 21.5% -
Margin 86.1% 13.9% -10.1 (11.9 off)
Pythagorean 78.4% 21.6% -
Efficiency 81.7% 18.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 90.6% 9.4% -
Log Adjusted 90.7% 9.3% -
Points Off/Def 69.9% 30.1% -

Actual: New Hampshire Wildcats -22 (63-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UMBC Retrievers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Valentine 27 3-6 2-3 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 10 6 -
J. King 27 5-9 1-3 6-6 2 2 0 0 1 17 11 -
D. Armstrong 27 6-10 3-6 2-2 1 3 3 0 0 17 14 -
J. Tanchyn 25 2-3 0-1 0-0 12 4 1 0 0 4 18 -
C. Downing 21 0-5 0-4 4-4 0 1 0 0 1 4 -1 -
J. Odunowo 21 5-7 0-0 2-2 5 2 0 0 1 12 11 -
C. Diggs 21 6-9 3-5 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 15 10 -
R. Jacobs 15 3-5 0-1 0-3 5 0 1 0 2 6 5 -
P. Greene 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 0 1 -
T. Eze 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Stout 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

New Hampshire Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Emuobor 26 5-9 1-2 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 13 6 -
T. Bike 26 0-3 0-3 1-2 1 2 0 0 1 1 0 -
J. Graham 26 4-9 2-7 3-5 3 2 1 0 1 13 9 -
K. Robinson 26 1-9 0-4 2-2 0 4 0 0 3 4 -4 -
R. Kennedy 25 4-5 3-4 4-4 2 0 0 0 1 15 11 -
B. El Shakery 24 3-8 0-2 1-5 14 2 2 0 4 7 13 -
J. Squire 21 3-4 1-1 0-0 6 1 0 0 1 7 9 -
D. Poser 20 1-7 1-7 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 -2 -
G. Xanthopoulos 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
M. Blackley 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Saunders 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter