Model Predictions
| Model | UMBC Retrievers | UAlbany Great Danes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.8% | 17.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.2% | 22.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 78.2% | 21.8% | -7.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 94.3% | 5.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.3% | 16.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.2% | 16.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UAlbany Great Danes -3 (65-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Armstrong | 36 | 3-10 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | +5.0 |
| A. Valentine | 34 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | +9.0 |
| J. King | 29 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -2 | -7.7 |
| J. Tanchyn | 29 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 16 | +6.2 |
| C. Diggs | 24 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +8.3 |
| J. Odunowo | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | +1.7 |
| C. Downing | 15 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | -7.6 |
| R. Jacobs | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -4.2 |
| D. Dickerson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.2 |
| P. Greene | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1.0 |
UAlbany Great Danes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Kempson | 40 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | -3.3 |
| A. Lindsey | 39 | 3-13 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | +0.9 |
| O. Okeke | 31 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 18 | -6.5 |
| M. Rose | 30 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -5.5 |
| I. Abidde | 26 | 8-11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 14 | -3.6 |
| M. Taylor | 22 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | +1.4 |
| T. Foster | 12 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | +4.1 |
* = starter