Model Predictions
| Model | Vermont Catamounts | UMBC Retrievers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.9% | 70.1% | +4.7 | ✓ (8.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UMBC Retrievers +13 (75-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Vermont Catamounts
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Hurley | 34 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| L. Mari | 32 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| G. Yalden | 31 | 7-18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| TJ Long | 27 | 7-15 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 15 | - |
| S. Blake | 21 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| N. Barnett | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| M. Nkugwa | 19 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| B. Johnson | 16 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| B. Michaels | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Skipper | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. King | 35 | 6-18 | 5-9 | 7-8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 11 | - |
| D. Armstrong | 32 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| A. Valentine | 31 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 4-7 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| J. Tanchyn | 28 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 19 | - |
| C. Diggs | 26 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| J. Odunowo | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| R. Jacobs | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| C. Downing | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| P. Greene | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter