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The Citadel

Also known as: The Citadel Bulldogs
Program History

2026 Team Stats (31 games)

69.1
PPG
78.0
Opp
-8.9
Margin
42.1%
FG%
32.1%
3P%
66.0%
FT%
32.4
RPG
12.5
APG
10.5
TO
75.8
Pace
65.8
AdjO
80.7
AdjD
#344
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 870 (#278) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 790 (#329) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 961 (#584) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → -15.2 (#345) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +3.0 (#329) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.160 (#344) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +2.9 More → 0.575 (#155) NetEff +2.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -21.2 More → 0.079 (#344) AdjNet -21.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -21.3 More → 0.078 (#344) AdjNet -21.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.8 | AdjD 80.7 More → 0.205 (#344) AdjO 65.8 | AdjD 80.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.1 | AdjD 74.7 More → 0.397 (#617) AdjO 70.1 | AdjD 74.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.470 (#359) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.448 (#369) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 149 | GP 31 More → 899 (#491) RD 149 | GP 31

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Erskine Flying Fleet W 105 - 61
2025-11-06 @ Boston College Eagles L 47 - 76
2025-11-10 vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers L 86 - 96
2025-11-14 @ West Georgia Wolves L 92 - 100
2025-11-19 vs North Greenville Crusaders W 70 - 57
2025-11-24 vs Bellarmine Knights L 58 - 70
2025-11-26 vs Houston Christian Huskies L 65 - 72
2025-11-30 vs Presbyterian Blue Hose L 41 - 69
2025-12-04 @ Davidson Wildcats L 63 - 79
2025-12-13 @ South Carolina Gamecocks L 55 - 71
2025-12-17 @ Charleston Cougars L 78 - 82
2025-12-20 @ Richmond Spiders L 56 - 80
2025-12-30 vs East Tennessee State Buccaneers L 49 - 74
2026-01-03 vs Wofford Terriers L 86 - 95
2026-01-07 @ Mercer Bears L 63 - 101
2026-01-10 vs Western Carolina Catamounts W 79 - 77
2026-01-15 @ UNC Greensboro Spartans L 66 - 69
2026-01-21 vs Furman Paladins W 77 - 75
2026-01-24 @ East Tennessee State Buccaneers L 55 - 84
2026-01-29 vs VMI Keydets W 80 - 56
2026-01-31 vs UNC Greensboro Spartans W 71 - 66
2026-02-05 @ Samford Bulldogs L 64 - 78
2026-02-07 @ Chattanooga Mocs W 78 - 71
2026-02-11 @ Western Carolina Catamounts L 49 - 87
2026-02-14 vs Mercer Bears L 54 - 70
2026-02-19 vs Samford Bulldogs L 75 - 78
2026-02-21 vs Chattanooga Mocs L 72 - 93
2026-02-25 @ Furman Paladins L 51 - 72
2026-02-28 @ Wofford Terriers W 93 - 90
2026-03-06 @ Chattanooga Mocs W 88 - 85
2026-03-07 @ East Tennessee State Buccaneers L 76 - 83

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Braxton Williams Braxton Williams - 31 29.5 14.4 3.2 1.7 0.7 0.3 1.8 12.7 5.8 -68 -2.7 -11.6 39.2 33.0 75.9 -1.21 51.8 48.5
C. Moore C. Moore F 29 25.3 11.4 3.0 1.0 0.3 0.1 1.0 9.1 5.8 -68 -4.0 -9.3 43.3 39.2 67.2 -0.81 56.8 54.8
S. Adebisi S. Adebisi F 28 32.2 10.2 5.7 1.5 1.2 1.2 1.5 6.7 11.7 -18 -0.8 -3.4 59.0 30.4 66.2 -0.47 64.6 62.8
C. Kingsbury C. Kingsbury - 29 30.0 7.9 4.0 2.2 0.6 0.1 1.6 7.0 6.3 -94 -4.7 -16.8 43.1 29.5 75.0 -1.39 52.4 49.5
Logan Applegate Logan Applegate - 31 16.0 6.4 2.1 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.4 5.5 4.1 13 0.6 3.3 37.1 31.7 77.8 -0.1 53.3 50.0
E. Wali E. Wali G 31 25.7 5.2 3.5 2.3 1.0 0.2 1.2 5.3 5.7 -56 -2.5 -10.2 33.7 27.0 63.3 -0.77 43.6 39.9
K. Davis K. Davis G 30 12.6 4.7 1.3 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.5 4.1 2.5 10 0.4 6.8 36.3 26.6 59.2 -0.48 48.1 44.8
Marcos Gonzales Marcos Gonzales - 27 12.3 4.2 1.5 1.4 0.6 0.0 1.4 3.1 3.3 -58 -3.2 -30.5 44.6 26.3 59.6 -0.41 52.3 47.6
D. Kearse D. Kearse - 31 10.5 3.3 1.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.4 2.5 3.1 -6 -0.3 -2.1 45.5 38.6 60.0 -0.47 58.0 56.5
R. Irelan R. Irelan - 4 2.2 2.2 0.8 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 1.5 1.5 4 1.3 246.2 50.0 50.0 0 -0.03 75.0 75.0
Cassius Bonjasky Cassius Bonjasky - 18 5.7 2.0 1.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 1.4 1.7 16 1.3 18.0 56.0 20.0 70.0 -0.04 61.2 58.0
Gabe Hernandez Gabe Hernandez - 17 7.6 1.9 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.4 1.9 0.8 28 1.8 21.8 36.4 20.0 77.8 -0.01 44.6 39.4
Simeon German Simeon German - 27 10.2 1.9 2.7 0.3 0.0 0.4 0.4 2.0 3.0 -74 -4.1 -25.4 45.3 0 16.7 -0.77 41.9 45.3
Logan Menefee Logan Menefee - 6 3.0 0.7 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 1.3 0.3 -6 -1.2 -34.5 25.0 0 0 -0.09 25.0 25.0
Chase Williams Chase Williams - 8 3.8 0.2 0.8 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.0 -3 -0.5 -13.7 33.3 0 0 -0.1 33.3 33.3
J. Walter J. Walter - 3 1.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 -0.3 4 1.3 18.2 0.0 0.0 0 0.02 0.0 0.0
A. Alexander A. Alexander - 4 1.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 -0.2 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Jameson Heck Jameson Heck - 3 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -0.7 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG