Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Christian Huskies | The Citadel Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 70.8% | 29.2% | -4.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 7.3% | 92.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.1% | 24.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.3% | 24.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: The Citadel Bulldogs -7 (65-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Christian Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Bartley * | 37 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 6 | +1.9 |
| T. Johnson * | 34 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | +3.9 |
| E. Brooks * | 33 | 5-12 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 7 | +2.2 |
| K. Green * | 32 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | +6.7 |
| D. Bethea * | 29 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | +4.9 |
| M. Mara | 14 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 13 | -1.1 |
| D. Samuels | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| N. Igiehon | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -5.0 |
| D. Williams | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.0 |
The Citadel Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Kingsbury * | 31 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | -2.8 |
| C. Moore * | 30 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| E. Wali * | 30 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -5.2 |
| K. Davis * | 29 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | -5.1 |
| S. German * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -7.2 |
| B. Williams | 32 | 7-19 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 8 | +4.5 |
| D. Kearse | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | +4.9 |
| L. Applegate | 12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +3.0 |
| M. Gonzales | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -4.2 |
| C. Williams | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Hernandez | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Bonjasky | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter