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2026-02-05

Model Predictions

Model The Citadel Bulldogs Samford Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 21.1% 78.9% -
Bradley-Terry 19.3% 80.7% -
Margin 6.7% 93.3% +14.4 (0.4 off)
Pythagorean 12.9% 87.1% -
Points Off/Def 30.2% 69.8% -

Actual: Samford Bulldogs +14 (78-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

The Citadel Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Kingsbury 33 6-11 0-1 1-1 3 1 0 0 1 13 5 -
S. Adebisi 31 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 4 6 -
E. Wali 27 2-7 1-2 1-4 9 3 2 0 0 6 13 -
B. Williams 27 4-10 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 8 -2 -
L. Applegate 23 4-13 3-12 3-5 2 1 2 0 3 14 3 -
C. Moore 21 4-8 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 8 1 -
M. Gonzales 17 2-6 0-2 1-2 2 1 2 0 4 5 0 -
K. Davis 9 2-2 1-1 1-3 0 2 0 0 0 6 6 -
S. German 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 0 0 5 -
D. Kearse 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -

Samford Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Norris 36 5-9 2-5 1-2 6 8 0 0 0 13 18 -
J. Booth 36 5-9 3-4 2-3 4 2 2 0 2 15 12 -
D. Faulkner 30 4-10 0-0 6-9 11 1 2 2 1 14 19 -
I. Campbell-Finch 29 4-7 1-3 2-4 3 1 2 0 1 11 9 -
C. Norris 29 2-3 1-2 2-2 2 2 0 0 1 7 7 -
K. Martin 23 4-8 3-6 3-4 2 0 0 0 1 14 7 -
W. Shaver 9 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 1 1 4 5 -
Z. Wilburn 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -

* = starter