Model Predictions
| Model | The Citadel Bulldogs | Samford Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.9% | 92.1% | +13.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 90.8% | 9.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Samford Bulldogs +14 (78-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
The Citadel Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Kingsbury | 33 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | - |
| S. Adebisi | 31 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| E. Wali | 27 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| B. Williams | 27 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -2 | - |
| L. Applegate | 23 | 4-13 | 3-12 | 3-5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 3 | - |
| C. Moore | 21 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | - |
| M. Gonzales | 17 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | - |
| K. Davis | 9 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| S. German | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| D. Kearse | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Norris | 36 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 18 | - |
| J. Booth | 36 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| D. Faulkner | 30 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 19 | - |
| I. Campbell-Finch | 29 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| C. Norris | 29 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| K. Martin | 23 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| W. Shaver | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Z. Wilburn | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter