Model Predictions
| Model | The Citadel Bulldogs | Chattanooga Mocs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 19.4% | 80.6% | +7.8 | ✗ (10.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Chattanooga Mocs -3 (85-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
The Citadel Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Adebisi | 39 | 9-15 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 22 | - |
| B. Williams | 35 | 6-13 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| E. Wali | 28 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| C. Moore | 26 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| C. Kingsbury | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| K. Davis | 16 | 6-10 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 12 | - |
| L. Applegate | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Kearse | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Gonzales | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. German | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Chattanooga Mocs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Darner | 39 | 6-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| J. Frison | 35 | 7-14 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| B. Watkins | 28 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| T. Washington Jr. | 28 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| B. Smith | 23 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| C. Mulholland | 23 | 5-10 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| M. Richards | 14 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| H. Holland | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Bowman | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter