Model Predictions
| Model | UNC Greensboro Spartans | The Citadel Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.3% | 37.7% | -2.8 | ✗ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 6.3% | 93.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: The Citadel Bulldogs +5 (71-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNC Greensboro Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Neely | 39 | 7-15 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 13 | +6.8 |
| KJ Younger | 39 | 9-17 | 3-10 | 3-6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 14 | +0.8 |
| N. Norgaard | 35 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | +0.9 |
| V. Pinedo | 32 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 16 | -0.1 |
| D. Whitehead Jr. | 28 | 0-7 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| L. Marville | 23 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +7.9 |
| D. Kauzonas | 12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | +7.0 |
| C. Efinda | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +6.1 |
| C. Bailey II | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +6.0 |
| C. Bynum | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
The Citadel Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Adebisi | 40 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 15 | -7.0 |
| C. Kingsbury | 37 | 3-15 | 3-11 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | -3.2 |
| E. Wali | 35 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -7.0 |
| B. Williams | 31 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | -7.2 |
| L. Applegate | 23 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | -7.0 |
| C. Moore | 23 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| D. Kearse | 13 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4.1 |
| M. Gonzales | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| K. Davis | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -0.0 |
| S. German | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter