Model Predictions
| Model | Samford Bulldogs | The Citadel Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 83.8% | 16.2% | -9.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 3.2% | 96.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.7% | 11.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.7% | 11.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: The Citadel Bulldogs -3 (75-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Booth | 40 | 6-16 | 2-9 | 4-6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 9 | - |
| C. Norris | 38 | 7-9 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 13 | - |
| K. Norris | 37 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13 | - |
| D. Faulkner | 28 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Z. Wilburn | 23 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 11 | - |
| K. Martin | 22 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| W. Shaver | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | - |
| J. Pollard | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
The Citadel Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Adebisi | 35 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 21 | - |
| B. Williams | 33 | 8-18 | 3-9 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 9 | - |
| C. Kingsbury | 26 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| E. Wali | 24 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| C. Moore | 23 | 4-11 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 5 | - |
| L. Applegate | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| M. Gonzales | 14 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| S. German | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| K. Davis | 13 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| D. Kearse | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter