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2026-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Mercer Bears The Citadel Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 58.8% 41.2% -
Bradley-Terry 67.1% 32.9% -
Margin 88.6% 11.4% -11.3 (4.7 off)
Pythagorean 75.5% 24.5% -
Efficiency 86.6% 13.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 90.9% 9.1% -
Log Adjusted 91.0% 9.0% -
Points Off/Def 71.5% 28.5% -

Actual: The Citadel Bulldogs -16 (54-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mercer Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Okojie 37 6-11 4-5 6-10 5 6 3 0 1 22 24 -
A. Mighty 37 6-9 0-0 0-2 10 4 1 3 3 12 18 -
Q. Perkins II 31 5-9 3-4 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 13 7 -
Z. Williams 30 1-5 1-4 3-4 1 1 2 0 3 6 2 -
C. Serven 27 4-7 0-2 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 10 4 -
B. Shoulders 21 0-3 0-1 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 0 1 -
K. Cuffe Jr. 9 2-3 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 2 -
T. Gross 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

The Citadel Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Kingsbury 37 3-8 1-4 0-0 11 1 0 0 3 7 8 -
B. Williams 35 5-12 2-7 5-6 2 1 2 1 2 17 9 -
E. Wali 28 1-3 1-1 2-2 2 1 2 0 3 5 4 -
C. Moore 26 5-16 3-10 2-2 1 2 0 0 2 15 0 -
S. Adebisi 22 1-4 0-2 0-0 3 0 2 0 1 2 2 -
S. German 21 3-6 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 1 6 7 -
L. Applegate 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Kearse 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Gonzales 7 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 1 0 0 2 3 -
C. Bonjasky 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Davis 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter