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2026-01-15

Model Predictions

Model The Citadel Bulldogs UNC Greensboro Spartans Spread Result
Elo 31.0% 69.0% -
Bradley-Terry 40.1% 59.9% -
Margin 21.2% 78.8% +7.2 (4.2 off)
Pythagorean 31.0% 69.0% -
Efficiency 87.7% 12.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 19.1% 80.9% -
Log Adjusted 19.1% 80.9% -
Points Off/Def 32.7% 67.3% -

Actual: UNC Greensboro Spartans +3 (69-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

The Citadel Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Kingsbury 44 5-10 2-5 3-4 5 6 2 0 3 15 15 -4.9
S. Adebisi 38 2-6 0-1 0-1 9 0 0 1 1 4 7 -
B. Williams 33 9-19 5-11 2-2 5 1 0 0 3 25 9 -4.9
E. Wali 33 1-7 0-3 0-0 4 1 1 1 2 2 0 -4.8
C. Moore 30 3-9 3-7 4-4 2 0 0 0 2 13 4 -
S. German 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 3 -4.9
L. Applegate 14 1-5 1-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 1 -4.8
D. Kearse 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
K. Davis 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -

UNC Greensboro Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Neely 43 7-14 1-3 8-9 16 3 1 0 2 23 27 +4.8
D. Whitehead Jr. 40 3-10 2-6 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 8 2 -
V. Pinedo 34 5-6 0-0 0-1 12 2 1 3 1 10 21 +4.8
L. Marville 33 7-14 1-3 0-3 2 1 2 0 1 15 5 +1.0
KJ Younger 30 3-12 0-5 1-6 4 2 3 3 1 7 6 +3.8
N. Norgaard 20 3-7 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 6 -2 +4.8
A. Mandian 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 +1.0
D. Kauzonas 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Efinda 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
L. King 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter