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2026-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Chattanooga Mocs The Citadel Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 38.8% 61.2% -
Bradley-Terry 46.8% 53.2% -
Margin 64.7% 35.3% -3.3 (17.7 off)
Pythagorean 66.0% 34.0% -
Efficiency 31.3% 68.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 75.8% 24.2% -
Log Adjusted 75.9% 24.1% -
Points Off/Def 55.5% 44.5% -

Actual: The Citadel Bulldogs -21 (72-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chattanooga Mocs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Frison 32 6-9 2-3 2-2 3 4 2 0 5 16 11 -
T. Darner 32 4-6 2-3 2-2 3 4 1 1 4 12 11 -
B. Smith 28 5-10 4-9 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 14 6 -
B. Watkins 27 4-9 3-8 5-5 5 3 0 0 0 16 15 -
T. Washington Jr. 26 6-8 1-2 2-2 4 2 0 2 3 15 12 -
C. Mulholland 21 5-9 1-3 2-4 11 2 1 1 0 13 19 -
H. Holland 14 2-2 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 5 6 -
M. Richards 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 0 6 -
J. Bowman 6 1-1 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
P. Robison 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

The Citadel Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Adebisi 39 2-3 0-0 2-6 4 0 1 0 0 6 8 -
B. Williams 36 8-23 5-14 5-11 11 2 2 0 4 26 14 -
C. Kingsbury 31 2-10 0-5 0-0 1 4 1 0 0 4 0 -
C. Moore 22 5-12 3-9 3-7 8 0 1 0 1 16 12 -
E. Wali 18 1-3 0-2 2-4 2 1 1 0 1 4 4 -
D. Kearse 16 2-5 1-3 1-2 3 2 0 0 1 6 5 -
L. Applegate 16 3-9 3-9 0-0 3 4 0 0 0 9 7 -
K. Davis 10 0-2 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 -
M. Gonzales 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
S. German 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Heck 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Alexander 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Williams 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Menefee 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
G. Hernandez 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Bonjasky 0 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Walter 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter