Model Predictions
| Model | Chattanooga Mocs | The Citadel Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 64.7% | 35.3% | -3.3 | ✓ (17.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: The Citadel Bulldogs -21 (72-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chattanooga Mocs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Frison | 32 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 11 | - |
| T. Darner | 32 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 11 | - |
| B. Smith | 28 | 5-10 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - |
| B. Watkins | 27 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 5-5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - |
| T. Washington Jr. | 26 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| C. Mulholland | 21 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 19 | - |
| H. Holland | 14 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| M. Richards | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| J. Bowman | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| P. Robison | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
The Citadel Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Adebisi | 39 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| B. Williams | 36 | 8-23 | 5-14 | 5-11 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 14 | - |
| C. Kingsbury | 31 | 2-10 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| C. Moore | 22 | 5-12 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| E. Wali | 18 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| D. Kearse | 16 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| L. Applegate | 16 | 3-9 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| K. Davis | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| M. Gonzales | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| S. German | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Heck | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Alexander | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Williams | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Menefee | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Hernandez | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Bonjasky | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Walter | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter